Canada 2060
What will Canada look like in the year 2060?
Introduction
Canada's population is continuously changing. By the year 2060, our immigration, our First Nations' population, and our country's general population trends will undergo drastic changes. In order to prepare for Canada's future, we must explore and understand what these changes will be and why they will occur.
Population Trends
Canada's constant urbanization has had a major effect on our birth rates. The cost of larger families continues to rise and people tend to dedicate a large fraction of their lives to education. In fact, our fertility rate has dropped from a whopping 3.93 children per woman in 1959 to just 1.67 children per woman in the year 2012. This goes to show how Canada's urbanization from 1959 to 2012 has changed our fertility rate resulting in a decrease in birth rate. In conclusion, Canada's birth rate has dropped due to our population's urbanization.
Another one of Canada's prominent current population trends is that we are slowly growing older as a country. More than seventy-one percent of our population is over the age of twenty-five. This shows us that the amount of young people in our country is becoming very low and it also goes to show that the amount of people being born is decreasing each year. Also, this could prove very dangerous to our economy because an older population means a larger dependency load. To conclude, Canada's population is gradually growing older and due to this, we will face problems in the future.
Furthermore, Canada's population isn't really increasing naturally. In fact, our natural increase rate is merely accountable for only a third of our total growth rate, meaning that Canada is very dependent on other sources, such as immigration, for our population growth. Also, this relates back to how our birth rates are dropping. In conclusion, our natural increase rate is very low and our total growth rate is somewhat higher due to immigration.
Population Trends in 2060
I think Canada will gradually transition into stage five of population growth. Currently, our birth rates are declining, our population is getting older, and our natural increase rate is slowly lowering. This all means that in the year 2060 our death rate will be much higher. That is because more than seventy percent of our population is over the age of twenty-five and in forty-five years, this large proportion of Canada's population will become old and start to die off. Also, our birth rates will continue to drop because the cost of a large family will most probably rise. This means that we will depend even more on immigrants in order to make our population grow. To conclude, our death rate will eventually rise above our birth rate and Canada's population pyramid will resemble that of Japan's.
Immigration Trends
Canada is a popular destination for economic immigrants. Our government projected that in 2015, 64.9 percent of our total immigrants will classify as economic immigrants. This shows us that many people come to Canada in the search for job opportunities. Also, it shows us that our government prioritizes economic immigrants because we need them as much as they need us. To conclude, a great percentage of our immigrants come to Canada for jobs.
Another current trend in Canada's immigration is that many of our immigrants come from three specific countries. A third of our total immigrants originate from either the Philippines, India, or China. This goes to show that these countries lack job opportunities and this pushes people to immigrate to Canada in hopes for a source of Income. This also displays that Canada's job opportunities are a huge pull factor for our immigrants. To conclude, a huge amount of our immigrants have emigrated from three specific countries in search for new jobs.
Also, a very important immigration trend in Canada is that our immigrants tend to have much higher birth rates than the rest of our country. Infact, an immigrant woman is bound to have almost twice as many children as a Canadian-born woman. This displays that immigrants stay used to their own culture even after they immigrate to Canada. It also shows us that immigrants will soon be an even bigger part of our growth rate. To conclude, people that immigraye to Canada often have many more children than someone who is born in this country.
Immigration Trends in 2060
Canada's dependency load will inevitably rise as a result to our lowering birth rate. A great percent of our population will be past the working age and this means that our economy will have to carry the burden of a huge dependency load in order to provide money and social services for old people. However, since our birth rates will continue to dive, Canada will face a massive labour deficit. This is where we will need economic skilled immigrants. I think Canada will start accepting an even larger amount of economic immigrants than it does now because our economy will be in desperate need. Also, I think that we won't have as many immigrants coming from India and China because their own economies are developing quickly and so, those countries will not lack job opportunities. Perhaps Canada will be successful in luring immigrants from African counties ,which are currently at the beginning stages of population growth.By the year 2060, almost all of Canada's growth rate will be coming from immigrants simply because of how they bring high birth rates with them. In all, in forty-five years, Canada might need immigrants more than those immigrants will need Canada
First Nations Trends
The Aboriginal population in Canada is very young. Near half of all aboriginal people are under the age of twenty-five. As for the rest of the country, only twenty-nine percent of the population is under the age of twenty-five. This shows us that Aboriginal people have a much higher birth rate compared to the rest of Canada, meaning that Aboriginal women often tend to spend less time on education compared to other women in Canada. This also shows that the Aboriginal community is less urbanized than the rest of Canada. To conclude, the Aboriginal population is very young and this reflects how the First Nations people live a much different life than the rest of us.
Another clear trend in Canada's First Nation's population is that they have a much shorter life span compared to the rest of Canada. An average Aboriginal male usually lives to be sixty-nine years old and the average female lives to be seventy-seven. This is much lower compared to the rest of the people in Canada, who live to be eighty-one years old. This proves that they live a lower quality of life compared to the rest of Canada. In conclusion, Aboriginal people do not live a very long life because the quality of their lives is worse compared to the rest of Canada.
Poverty is also a huge issue within the First Nations population. In fact, approximately half of all status First Nations children live in poverty, meaning that the Aboriginal population does not have many job opportunities. This means that maybe, our Aboriginal population is not dedicating a huge portion of their lives to education. This also displays the low quality of life that Aboriginal people live and it shows why the life expectancy is so low among the First Nations people. To conclude, the amount of poverty within the Aboriginal population really reflects how the First Nations people have a lower quality of life compared to the rest of Canada.
First Nations Trends 2060
By the year 2060, the First Nations population will look much different. This is mainly because the Aboriginal population is very young and this means that it will be a big part of our workforce by the year 2060. Canada will be in need of labour and so, Aboriginal people will play a huge part in fixing the labour deficit. This means that they will have more job opportunities, which means more jobs and less poverty. Also, more job opportunities will urbanize the First Nations population even faster and eventually, their birth rates will become low as well. If unemployment does decrease within the Aboriginal population, their life expectancy will increase very fast because they will live a better quality of life. To conclude, the Aboriginal population will not face as many problems due to the job opportunities that will open up to them
Conclusion
In all, Canada's population trends, our First Nation's population trends, and our immigration trends will go through large transformations by the year 2060. This is mainly due to how our population is becoming old and so, the structure of our workforce will be much different in forty-five years
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