CANADA IN 2060
WHAT WILL CANADA LOOK LIKE IN 2060?
THIS ARTICLE WILL PROVIDE INFORMATION ON THE FOLLOWING TOPICS:
- HOW WILL IMMIGRATION TRENDS BE EFFECTED?
- WHAT ROLE WILL IMMIGRATION HAVE IN THE FUTURE? WILL THE NUMBER OF IMMIGRANTS INCREASE OR DECREASE?
- WHAT WILL THE POPULATION LOOK LIKE?
- WHAT STAGE WILL CANADA BE ON THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION MODEL?
- HOW WILL THE DEPENDENCY LOAD CHANGE?
- WHAT ROLE WILL THE FIRST NATIONS PLAY?
- WILL CANADA FIX THEIR RELATIONSHIP WITH THE FIRST NATIONS?
IMMIGRATION TRENDS
CURRENT TRENDS
- 250 000 people immigrate to Canada annually
- In 2010 most immigrants came from 1) Philippines 2) India 3) China 4) U.K. 5) U.S
Common pull factors of Canada:
- Free healthcare
- Excellent education system
- Job opportunities
- Democratic government
- Multicultural societies
- Religious freedom
NUMBER OF PEOPLE IMMIGRATING TO EACH PROVINCE in 2013:
- Newfoundland and Labrador- 825
- Prince Edward Island- 998
- Nova Scotia- 2 529
- New Brunswick- 2 019
- Quebec- 51 983
- Ontario- 103 494---Ontario received the most immigration in the year of 2013
- Manitoba- 13 100
- Saskatchewan- 10 679
- Alberta- 36 636
- British Columbia- 36 210
- Yukon- 316
- Northwest Territories- 150
- Nunavut- 11
2060 PREDICTIONS
- The number of immigrants will increase due to the gradual transition to an older population
- Ontario will continue to receive large number of immigrants as they are facing labour deficits
- The pull factor of employment will have a larger influence on immigrants as the labour shortages will provide many job opportunities
- Skilled workers and business immigrants will be allowed to immigrate more easily because of the lack of workers
- Many residents of Asia will immigrate because of current issues regarding gender inequality, religious prosecution and lack of jobs
POPULATION/DEMOGRAPHY TRENDS
CURRENT TRENDS
- Currently, Canada is a stage 4 country on the demographic transition model, meaning that the country has low birth and death rates
- People are gradually having less children as they are living longer and because of the post war baby boom which led people to having smaller families
- Society is known to have less children when they are guaranteed to survive for a longer time
- An average man lives up to 80 years and an average woman lives to 85 years old
- Immigration makes up 67% of Canada's population, very small natural population
Birth, Death and Population Growth Rate in 2014
- Birth Rate: 10.29 births/1,000 population
- Death Rate: 8.31 deaths/1,000 population
- Population Growth Rate:0.76%
Median Ages in 2014
Total: 41.7 years; This is a high median age and means a large number of adults will be in the 60+ age group within the next couple of years
Female: 42.9 years
Male: 40.4 years
2060 PREDICTIONS
- 2026- many baby boomers will reach age of 80, high mortality age and this will cause the death rate to vastly increase
- Canada will also gradually transition to stage 5 of the model as the death rate will increase with the older population starts to die
- 2031- immigration rate is projected to increase and will make up approximately 80% percent of Canada's population-the job opportunities and education system will attract many in the future years
- 2056- expected that the dependency load will become 50 seniors for every 100 workers (50:100 or 1:2)
FIRST NATIONS
CURRENT
- Our relationship with First Nations is very poor
- They are treated poorly, judged and misunderstood
- The First Nations have a high fertility rate however shorter life expectancy
- Over 50% of their population is under the age of 24
- Only 5.6% of Canada's populations has Aboriginal ancestry
- First Nations people were abused both emotionally and physically in Residential Schools also contributing to the poor relationship
- All have long hair
- Waste their money
- Not educated
- All alcoholics
- Newfoundland- 4
- Nova Scotia- 13
- Prince Edward Island- 2
- New Brunswick- 15
- Quebec- 39
- Ontario- 126
- Manitoba- 63
- Saskatchewan- 70
- Alberta- 45
- British Columbia- 198
- Yukon- 16
- Northwest Territories- 26
2010 Vancouver Olympic Games Strike A Change
- Before, the communities of Whistler, British Columbia had no relationship with the First Nations known as the Lil Wat
- When the games started, the communities reached an agreement and it overall improved the relationship by about 75%
- The First Nations gave permission to the hydro companies to build on their land in exchange for the opportunity to learn and receive jobs with the companies
- From this the First Nations received recognition and acknowledgement
2060 Predictions
- Canada will attempt to form and develop and relationship with the First Nations to improve the country's reputation and to help reduce labour shortages
- Canada is facing many problems in the skilled industries which could be a turning point making them reach out to the First Nations and improve the relationship
- First Nations could contribute and help our government and economy in exchange for acknowledgement and acceptance amongst other terms
HOW WILL OUR GENERATIONS LIVES BE DIFFERENT?
- Increased demand for skilled workers
- Skilled trades such as electricians, plumbers and carpenters will be majorly impacted
- Labour deficits will impact the production rates as well
- Industries will struggle to make enough products and meet demands which could also result in a higher cost of living due to increased prices on products
- The demand of skilled workers could positively benefit us, especially individuals who seek a future in these industries
- Increase in usage of services such as senior transportation and senior homes
- Government will need to spend more money to provide for these services
- Demand for employees in the healthcare industry, as well as, workers to care for senior citizens
- It will create a strain on the economy and will be draining government funds
- Citizens in Canada will be asking for pensions and this will create a loss in tax revenues
- Affect the Canadian government's financial situation resulting in an increase in taxes or cutting of expenses in other areas to compensate for the losses
- The future working population may have to pay more in order to help Canada's government sustain financial security
Citations
"Canada Immigration FAQ." Canadian Citizenship & Immigration Resource Center. Web. 4 Mar. 2015. <http://www.immigration.ca/en/canada-immigration/immigration-faq.html>
Central Intelligence Agency. Central Intelligence Agency. Web. 4 Mar 2015.<https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ca.html>
"Dependency Ratio." Dependency Ratio. Web. 4 Mar. 2015. <http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/82-229-x/2009001/demo/dep-eng.htm>.
"Facts and Figures 2013 – Immigration Overview: Permanent Residents." Government of Canada, Citizenship and Immigration Canada, Communications Branch. Web. 4 Mar. 2015. <http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/resources/statistics/facts2013/permanent/11.asp>
"Population Growth in Canada: From 1851 to 2061." The Canadian Population in 2011: Population Counts and Growth. Web. 4 Mar. 2015. <http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2011/as-sa/98-310-x/98-310-x2011003_1-eng.cfm>.
"Push and Pull Factors." O Canada. 5 May 2011. Web. 4 Mar 2015. <https://1eonsauce.wordpress.com/2011/05/05/push-and-pull-factors>