Canada And Japan In 2040
By: Zahir Sibdhanny
Introduction
Canadian Immigration (2015-2040)
Canada Now (2015)
The top 3 countries immigrating to Canada- China, India, and Philippines
The 3 different immigrates that come to Canada are refugees, economic immigrates, and family class immgirates.
Ways to immigrate to Canada are though the point system, or being sponsored.
Around 250,000 immigrates come to Canada each year.
Canada In 2040
Canada's population will remain stable and will increase at a small/slow rate mainly because of Immigration to Canada.
The point system will remain the same, and they will assess you by Education, Age, Adaptability, Arranged Employment, Experience, and Language Skills.
Immigration to Canada will be close to doubling, around 400,000 or more per year.
The median age of immigrants will stay the same, maybe increase and decrease by a little amount because Canada wants younger people instead of older people to contribute to the economy because if you are close to the retiring age you can't contribute to the economy as younger people can and Canada will probably not accept you into Canada as an economic immigrant.
Canadian Demography (2015-2040)
Canada's population is growing at a slow rate and will be expected to increase in the future mainly because of immigration to Canada. (birth rate higher than death rate)
Japan: 2015
Pull Factors: Education, Culture, Family links, and Better Living Condition
Push Factors: Not enough jobs, Political fear, Natural Disasters, and Poor Medical Care.
Median age: 46.2
Fertility rate: 1.40 children per women
Population over 60+ : 33% of the total population
Growth rate: -40%
Natural increase: 932,474-1,287,095= -354621 or 28% (decrease)
Net migration: 0 (no data)
The population of Japan has been decreasing during the past years
It is expected that 932,474 children will be born and about 1,287,095 people will die
Every 25 seconds a person dies, in other words their are 3526 deaths in a day.
Every 34 seconds a baby is born, in other words their are 2,555 children born in a day
Canada in 2015
Pull Factors: Freedom, Education, Free health care, Welfare, High Standard Of Living, and Multicultural
Push Factors: Climate (Cold) and High Taxes
Median Age: 40.3
Fertility rate: 1.66 children per women
Population over 60+: 22% of the total population
Growth rate: 1.14 %
Natural increase: 357,274 - 277,339= 79935 natural increase
The population of Canada in the recent years has increase and decreased during the past years
Net migration: Approximately 196,362
Population growth: 79935 + 196,362 = 276,297 or 757 persons daily
Every 88 seconds a baby is born, a average of 979 births per day.
Every 114 seconds a person dies, a average of 760 deaths per day.
About 357,274 children will be born.
About 277,339 people will die.
Canada Compared To Japan In 2040
% of people over 60+: 42.4% of the total population
Push Factors: Bad economy, political fear, more tax (increasing), Natural Disasters
Pull Factors: Culture, Family Links , and More Job Opportunities
Fertility rate: The fertility rate is going to stay the same or decrease a bit, mainly because (opportunities for women) women rather have their education and a job, instead of having kids or just not ready to have kids (family planing) or don't want kids at all. So, instead of having kids, women use birth control and protection.
Median age: The median age of Japan in going to increase in 2040 compared to Japan in 2015 because of their ageing population which, is the generations that had the most births who are still alive and above 60+. Also, low birth rates contribute to the increasing median age because they are less births, so less people under 60+.
Canada in 2040
% of people over 60+: 29.9 or 30% of the total population
Push Factors: Climate (cold) and Tax (high)
Pull Factors: Better Education, Freedom, Job Opportunities, Better Economy, free health care and more.
Fertility rate: I think Canada's fertility rate is going to decrease even though their is a lot of immigration to Canada because (opportunities for women) women chose education and job opportunities rather than having children. Some women are not ready to have kids or they don't want kids. So women use birth control and protection.
Median Age: The median age of Canada is going to increase because their are a high number of people in 2015 moving to the retiring age in 2040. Also, low birth rate contribute to the increasing median age because their are less children being born, so less people are under the age of 60+. It is expected that people over 60+ now (2015) will double in the future according to statistics Canada.
Japan In 2040
- It shows the births decreasing compared to Japan in 2015
- It shows the peek of the most births, which is the generation that is at the age of 65-69.
- It shows the total population of Japan expected to be 114.517.000 compared to Japan in 2015 which has the population of 126.818.000, that is a decrease of about 12,301,000 million people in 25 years!
- Long life expectancy
- As you can see in this graph their are more males than females because parents chose males over females
- As you see in the graph, the ages 60+ females live longer than males.
Japan In 2015
- It shows the two generations that had the most number of births which are: the generation at the age of 40-44 and 65-69.
- It shows the low birth rates after the generations that had the most births.
- Long life expectancy
- Again, as you can see in this graph, their are more males than females because parents chose males over females
- As you see in the graph, the ages 60+ females live longer than males.
Birth and Death Rate In Japan (Graph)
- It shows the birth rate decreasing over time, to a point in 2008 where the death rate is higher than birth rate in 2008.
- It also shows the deaths decreasing and than increasing again over time to a point where deaths are higher than births per year and because of this Japan is in the 5 stage of the demography transition model.
Canada's population in 2015
- It shows the peek which had the most births which is the generation age of 50-54.
- It shows the low birth rate decreasing and increasing a bit.
- Low death rate
- High life expectancy
- Shows the peek of the most births which, is the generation at the age of 50-54.
- Shows increase and decrease in births.
Canada's population in 2040
- It shows an constant birth rate.
- High life expectancy.
- Low death rate.
- Canada's population has increased from 2015 - 2040 about 7 million people in the last 25 years.
Death and Birth Rate Of Canada
- Death rate increasing
- Birth rate (line) varies because it increases and decreases
- Natural increase and decreases over time.
Population Pyramids (Video)
Compares Canada to Japan now (2015) and in the future (2050)
(Self explanatory)
Conclusion
Bibliography
http://populationpyramid.net/canada/2040/
http://populationpyramid.net/japan/2040/
http://populationpyramid.net/japan/2015/
http://countrymeters.info/en/Canada
http://countrymeters.info/en/Japan
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population_ageing
http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/91-520-x/2010001/part-partie3-eng.htmhttp://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN