Canada in 2060

What Canada will look like in 2060

Introduction

In the year 2060, Canada will be a very different country than what it is today, due to changing birth and death rates, as well as increasing and eventually decreasing dependency loads. Canada will be a much larger and more prosperous country with a fair amount of immigrants and a healthy, growing economy. If overpopulation does not become a problem, it will be a much better place to live in.

Immigration

Current:


- Canada currently attracts about 220,000-262,000 immigrants per year. Most of these immigrants are arriving from Asian countries, with the 3 main ones being India, China, and the Philippines. A significant portion of our immigrants each year are economic class immigrants, brought in to help Canada grow its economy by taking skilled working jobs.


- Canada has immigrated a total of 7,284,000 people, making it 8th on the list of countries with the largest immigrant populations. This means about 20.7% of our population is composed of immigrants.


-Canada has become more and more focused on immigrating more economic class immigrants which will be able to fill the gaps left as our ageing population retires. Due to the baby boom, there will be a significant amount of jobs, and not enough young people to fill them. This is why the government has now put such an emphasis on economic immigrants, going so far as to introduce Express Entry, a way for highly skilled economic immigrants to bypass the immigration process and obtain a permanent resident visa within Canada.


Future:


-I think predict in the year 2060, our baby boom will have completely died off, and the population will have evened out. This means the government will most likely make its immigration policies stricter, as it has no more need for economic immigrants in a sustainable population that has an equal birth and death rate. There will simply not be very many job opportunities for immigrants within Canada. So, I believe that we will accept less immigrants.


-We will only accept immigrants from certain countries that wish to immigrate to certain provinces which could use a larger workforce.


-This will be a problem, as in the year 2060 Canada will be a place where people want to immigrate to, due to its vast amount of valuable resources such as water and oil. If the world has not yet been ravaged by war in 2060, resources like water will become extremely valuable, and create huge waves of people who would like to immigrate. Wars may also be fought over our water and oil.

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By the year 2060 Canada will depend less on immigrants to fill jobs in our economy, as there will be no jobs left to fill. Immigration policies may become stricter as a result.

Demographics

Current:


-Current demographics show Canada as having a natural increase rate of about 0.9%, with a total population of 35.16 million.


-The current birth rate is quite low compared to the baby boom between 1945 and 1965. The death rate is currently fairly average, with not a lot of people being older than 85.


-Canada is currently in Stage 4 of the DTM, as our death rate has fallen drastically, and our birth rate has fallen as well, resulting in the natural increase rate decreasing.


Future:


-The birth rate should stay about the same, as we have reached peak child birth in the world. The death rate will skyrocket as the baby boomers begin to pass away, but will stabilize later to about the same value as the birth rate.


-If the population growth scales correctly with the current doubling time of 78 years, then the population would equal just over 49 million in 2060. However, because of a slowing growth rate, demographers predict the population to be at about 47 million in 2060.


-If Canada can control its birth rate in the future, I predict that it could reach stage 5 of the DTM, where the birth rate is lower than the death rate, which results in the natural increase rate going below 0 and becoming the natural decrease rate. This will be very good, as it will mean that Canada has stabilized it's population growth.

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In the year 2014, we have an ageing population which will negatively impact our economy due to a larger dependency load. In 2060 however, the baby boom will completely disappear, and we will be a healthier country.
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This will be the population of Canada in 2050 (it should look similar in 2060) if we can avoid problems related to overpopulation.

Aboriginals

Current:


-First Nations communities have been oppressed and ignored for several generations as they were enrolled in residential schools. Most communities all but lost their traditions after going through the residential school system which physically, mentally, and sexually abused students. Because many traditions are passed through speech, most of them were lost, as the first nation people all but forgot their native languages after the residential schools.


-The Toronto Purchase let the European settlers acquire some of the Aboriginals' land, but they took more than they specified they would. So, the land we live on is technically still owned by the first nations. So, we have pretty much ignored the aboriginals in our country and stolen land which is rightfully theirs.


- 4.2% of our popUlation is composed of aboriginals. The FNMI have a high birth rate and a high death rate, which means a very stable population.


Future:


-We must reach stable agreements with the first nations where we do not unrightfully steal their land, but instead compensate them properly for the amount of land we take.


-We can't continue to ignore the people who inhabited Canada before us, and we cannot continue to steal their land and harm them for our benefit.


-I think that in 2060, the Indian Act will be removed and the FNMI will be able to find a stable home within Canada.

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We need to treat aboriginals a lot better than we spcurrently do, as we have stolen their land, and all but destroyed their culture.
Pension Ponzi: Demographic Collapse Will Change Canada Forever

Video: Demographic Collapse will Change Canada Forever

This video has been produced by Bill Tufts, author of the book Pension Ponzi. In the video he talks about how, as a result of our ageing population, for every day of every year until the year 2029, 1000 people will turn age 65. This means that in the coming decades, our dependency load will increase drastically as more and more people retire and leave skilled jobs behind. In the video as well as in his book, he explains some of the problems that Canada will face because of an ageing population, but he focuses mostly on the fact that it will be very difficult for the working population to continue to provide pension plans and retirement income for our population over the age of 65.

My Life in 2060

In they year 2060, my life is going to be very different than my parents' lives today. The birth rate will stay about the same or go down if we have reached stage 5 of the DTM. Death rates may slow down due to longer lifespans though, as we will have better medical technology in 2060. We will have gotten rid of our ageing population, which has probably decreased our dependency load. Because of this, I think our immigration policies will be a lot stricter, as we won't need immigrants to keep our economy from falling apart anymore. I think job availability will be about the same as it is today, and it will be relatively easy for a Canadian to get a job.


One of the major challenges we will face in 2060 is dealing with overpopulation and its effects, as the population of the world will be about 9 and a half billion. As more countries develop, carbon emissions will get higher and higher until we ha pave completely destroyed our environment. We may see many more natural disasters, all caused by global warming. If we can solve problems like these however, then Canada will be a very healthy country with a very good economy in the year 2060.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Canada will experience demographic and economic growth by 2060 if we can control some of the problems in the future such as overpopulation (which will result in global warming and lack of resources). We also can't let our aboriginal population be forgotten, as we must be able to coexist together with the FNMI population. Canada will also be able to progress along the DTM and become a more sustainable nation if we can control our birth rates. If these things happen, Canada will become a very prosperous, sustainable country, and one which will become a role model for developing countries.