Canada in 2060
By: Kevin Patel
Intro:
Topics:
- Immigration
- Demography
- First Nations
Immigration
- Economic immigrants
- Family class
- Refugees
Push and Pull factors
- Push factors ( overpopulation, war, and natural disasters)
- Pull factors ( job opportunities, health care, constitutional rights, and education)
As of now Canada's push factors are overpopulation,war and natural which are severe causes for someone to emigrate out of the country.However, in the year 2060 this could possibly change as due to the natural increase being low more people will die or be old and can't have kids and thus, cause the population to decrease. Next, are pull factors which include job opportunities,health care, political rights, and education. By looking at Canada and these pull factors i conquer that it will most likely stay the same or change slightly.
With Canada being in stage 4 of the demographic transition model and slowly making its way into stage 5, the population is decreasing and they must bring in immigrants from around the world. But have you ever wondered where they came from and where would they stay. Countries like India and China will be the one's who deliver the majority of immigrants. This is because the population in both countries is becoming overpopulated and thus, wont be able to handle the population. So with Canada's dependency load becoming high there will be more job opportunities for them to have and they don't have to worry about coming to a country that's already overpopulated.
At this point many people are settling in Ontario, Quebec, and British Columbia, but with many people settling there already they will have to find a place in Canada that won't become overpopulated. Therefore they will move to places such as Nunavut and Yukon which is the best choice for them and their families as it opens them to a wide range of opportunities and resources.
Demography
.
Death Rate
The death rate will either become lower or stay constant, because of the health care, technology and resources. Right now Canada's birth rate is low because we are gaining more knowledge on how to improve people's health and medication. This means less people will die, and the women could produce babies. Furthermore once the future comes, the health care will be even better because scientists and other people will grasp a better hold of how to improve health and medication. Also the technology we have now a days is adequate, but once the future comes the technology will be far more advanced saving us time and energy. This all may sound good, but with a low death rate the population will start to age and less people will work thus causing the businesses to fail. As well with those who work, they will have to support their families a lot which will put a lot of strain on them.
Birth Rate
The birth rate will become very low because of family planning, high dependency load, and later marriages. Currently the birth rate is also low because with many people working they have no time to support their families which will cause people to not want children. In the next 44 years when the dependency load is high many people who work will have even less time for families and then for women it will be nearly impossible to have children. Additionally, with less people being born their will be a great number of old people who don't have anyone to aid them and cause the death rate to be higher. Which means there won't be many old people and the dependency load will lower.
Natural Increase Rate
Natural increase rate will start to decline in 2060. This is due to the birth rate being extremely low when we are in stage 5. As it stands right now the natural increase is leveled and that's okay, but when it comes to the year 2060 we will have a great problem. With more people dying then being born, our population will decline severely and there will even less people in the workforce. This means that the population growth rate will turn out low, but can be stabilized by bringing in immigrants which the government is already working on.
2015:
Birth rate: 10.29/1000
Death rate: 8.31/1000
Population growth rate: 0.76%
Life expectancy: 81.57 years
Population pyramid
Canada's demographics
Dependency load
First Nations
First Nations
Communities
Equality
Conclusion
Bibliography
Information Sites:
Gadacz, Rene R. "First Nations." The Canadian Encyclopedia. Ed. Zach Parrott. Anthony Wilson-Smith, 02 June 2006. Web. 19 Mar. 2016. <http://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.ca/en/article/first-nations/>
Population and Demography." Government of Canada, Statistics Canada. Government, 21 Mar. 2016. Web. 18 Mar. 2016. <http://www5.statcan.gc.ca/subject-sujet/theme-theme.action?pid=3867&lang=eng&more=0>.
Hodgson, Glen. "Slow-Motion Demographic Tsunami about to Hit Canada's Economy." Slow-Motion Demographic Tsunami about to Hit Canada's Economy. The Conference Board of Canada, 10 July 2105. Web. 20 Mar. 2016. <http://www.conferenceboard.ca/economics/hot_eco_topics/default/12-07-10/slow-motion_demographic_tsunami_about_to_hit_canada_s_economy.aspx>
"Immigration to Canada." Wikipedia. Wikimedia Foundation, 17 Mar. 2016. Web. 18 Mar. 2016. <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immigration_to_Canada>.
Images:
"Notice – Supplementary Information to the 2014 Immigration Levels Plan."Government of Canada, Citizenship and Immigration Canada, Communications Branch. Government, 1 Nov. 2013. Web. 20 Mar. 2016. <http://www.cic.gc.ca/english/department/media/notices/2013-11-01.asp>.
"Common Menu Bar Links." Canadian Demographics at a Glance: Figure 17 Number of Immigrants and Immigration Rate in Canada, 1900 to 2006. N.p., 25 Jan. 2008. Web. 20 Mar. 2016. <http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/91-003-x/2007001/figures/4129865-eng.htm>.
"Canada Age Structure." - Demographics. CIA World Factbook, 30 June 2015. Web. 20 Mar. 2016. <http://www.indexmundi.com/canada/age_structure.html>.
Strategic Research and Analysis Directorate. "First Nation and Inuit Community Well-Being : Describing Historical Trends (1981-2006)."Government of Canada; Indigenous and Northern Affairs Canada; Communications Branch. Government, Apr. 2010. Web. 22 Mar. 2016. <http://www.aadnc-aandc.gc.ca/eng/1100100016600/1100100016641>.
Video:
"A Statistics Canada Minute - Regional Demography." Government of Canada, Statistics Canada. Government, 27 Jan. 2016. Web. 18 Mar. 2016. <http://www.statcan.gc.ca/eng/sc/video/demography>.
Sound Cloud (audio):
"Canada in 2060." SoundCloud. Kevin Patel, 20 Mar. 2016. Web. 22 Mar. 2016. <https://soundcloud.com/user-897712479/sounds-from-sunday-night>.