CANADA IN 2050?

BY: ABHAY RANDHAWA

Introduction

Despite Canada being 37th in the population standings, Canada is the 2nd largest country in the world. The main question is what will this developed country be demographically in 2050? As you continue to read this article you come across aboriginal people, immigrant, and general population of Canada.

Immigation

Current Situation:



  • Immigrants that come to Canada are mostly form Asia (India and China), and as you can see it shows how many people immigrated to Canada from each, and China and India are 2 countries where most immigrants come form.
  • some push and pull factors, specifically factors that may come into mind of the people that migrate to Canada from these countries are:
  1. education in Canada is much better
  2. there are better job opportunities, then India and China
  3. Canada is more of a better diverse country then India and China
  4. and lastly Canada has better living conditions than India and China
  • the most common reason why people migrate from these 2 countries (India and China) to Canada is because it is to over populated making it harder for better living conditions
  • as seen in the graph the number of immigrants that have come to Canada over the past years increased and decreased rapidly but as the years have gone by these fluctuating numbers have stabilized
  • for example in the years of 2000 to 2010 there hasn't been a drastic increase or decrease for the number of immigrants that have immigrated to Canada
Future Predictions:


Over the years Canada has been getting a lot of Immigrants from Asia specifically India and china. I believe that by 2050 Canada will make their immigration Laws strict, and this means the immigration rate will be reduced. However, more people want to immigrate to Canada to seek better job opportunities, education, diversity and better living conditions, which Canada provides. So this will allow people living in the countries that don't provide these pull factors to force these people to leave the country and immigrate to Canada. So then the government would end up making the immigration laws more tough. From 2000 to 2010 there hasn't been a drastic increase or decrease in the number of immigrants, which means it is stable. If this country continues on after 2010 it looks like the immigration rate will decline, because of the strict immigration laws that might be placed in the future.

General Population of Canada

Current Situation:



  • Between the years of 1867 and 2001 a big increase occurred the population went 27.5% up and the total population in 2001 was 31.0. To double check you would add 27.5 to 3.5 and that would give you 31.0
  • In the chart below it shows that the birth rate throughout the past years have increased have been higher than the death rate.
  • From the years of 2006-2011 the population is going up by 0.4% and has increased 3% from 2006-2011.
  • Life expectancy rate in the 1990 was (77 years) and that was a average age to live up to. Life expectancy did go higher than that in the 19 century because, there was free health care provided, and neither was there the technology to research the cure for these diseases.
  • But a few years later in 2011 there was free health care given, and there was technology discovered which then allowed researchers to find the cure for the different types of diseases. Like for example heart diseases, lung cancer and etc.
  • as you see this graph below for the mortality from leading circulatory diseases and cancer in 2009 shows each one of the bars have dropped for each category, because of the laws that were passed to prevent people from getting these such diseases. One of the few laws that were passed are, smoking under the age of 18 is illegal and drinking under the age of 19 is is illegal. Lastly, the advanced technology aloud doctors and medical scientist to find the cure for the such diseases.
Future Predictions:


It is expected that by the year 2050, the population of Canada will reach over 40 million because of the slow increase in 2006-2011 the past year. I would not worry about the life expectancy rate (82 years) now,because in the future the technology will become more advanced and researchers will have found more cures for certain diseases. Another way the population will gradually increases in the future is if the birth rates remain 100,000 people higher that the death rate. Over the years, the people with health conditions such as, health attacks, strokes, lung cancer, prostate cancer and breast cancer have decreased, because of the new discoveries that were made in 20th century. Lastly, I believe if Canada can maintain the birth rate to be higher that the death rate, and if the health conditions keep on decreasing, then that would equal to a population going over 40 million.

Aboriginals

Current Situation:



  • It has been proven by statistic Canada that the aboriginal population increased by 232,358 people (20.1%) from the years 2006-2011, compared to 5.2% for the non-aboriginals.This large share was mostly was mostly in the Nunavut are ,and the Northwest Territories area.
  • As you can see in this graph the trend has shown that Inuit, Non- status Indians, Metis and the registered population every year displays that it will increase.
  • The total Aboriginal population has increased by 100 people every year.
  • The graph below is showing the unemployment rate among aboriginals and non- aboriginals, which proves that the unemployment rate made a leap to roughly 4% from the years 2008-2009. This is the same situation when looking at the broader unemployment rate.
  • the unemployment rate after 2009 remained approximately the same by only going up by roughly 0.2% making not much of a difference in the number of people unemployed.
Future Predictions:


The stunning aboriginal population has out numbered the rest of the non-aboriginal population. By the trend behavior the aboriginal population will go high in the future for the areas of the Northwest Territories and Nunavut. But they way the aboriginals are being treated now will also affect the future, meaning some point in the years coming the population will collapse. But I think may not affect the aboriginal population that much. Looking at the unemployment rate, I think in the future aboriginals are going to have a less chance of getting jobs, because of the unemployment rate trends. These trends are showing that the unemployment rate is higher for the aboriginals, and lower for the non-aboriginals, this means that the non-aboriginals have better chance of getting jobs. This might be because the aboriginals may not be getting the full and suitable education they in order to obtain these jobs, which in the end is making their unemployment rate higher.

Vidoe

Welcome to IWC (site intro)

Conclusion

To conclude, I think in the future Canada will definitely move up in the population standings, by looking at all the information above. But I think as the population increases for the aboriginals in their specific area they would have to find a new home, because at some point in the future Nunavut and The Northwest Territories will be overpopulated, and that would force the aboriginals to migrate to a different province. But the immigration for Canada will be fluctuating in the future meaning there won’t a drastic increase or decrease. So overall, I believe that Canada will be a healthy country in the future, and even though if Canada comes across some downfalls in the future,I think they would still be able to recover in the future.

Soundcloud

abhay0330

How will my life be in the year 2050? by abhay0330

Biblography

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