What Will The Future Hold?
Canada- Our country in 2060
Introducing...Present-day Canadian demography!
Canada: As of Now
Lets talk about Canada's immigration situation first. Canada brings over around 250,000 immigrants each year (tourists, students and illegal immigrants not included) . Our main sources of immigrants come from China, India and the Philippines who take up around 1/3 of the overall amount of immigrants. Of Canada's overall population, immigrants take up almost 1% of that. Right now, because of the war, a large source of immigrants are coming from Syria.
Now, onto Canadian demography. Canada has an average birth rate of around 10.29 births per 1000 population. It is also said that there are approximately 1.61 children per women. In 2008, it was around 1.68 children per women meaning the number of births are decreasing. Why is this happening? Well, now a days, women are picking up the trend of working and are less adamant on having children because of the financial aid needed to keep them healthy and educated. Back in the 1900s, children used to be of aid because they used to live on farms and the more children there are, the more hands to help. To some people, they are now a burden to couples because they cost a lot to keep alive and they need parental aid. That means that they may need to leave work for awhile, and to some people that's a big no-no.
Canada's death rate is roughly 8.31 deaths per 1000 population. The death rate is considerably low because back then people had less immunity. As the generations pass, new diseases are introduced and the immunity level increases for the newer generations. For example, 80 years ago, a cold could have been deadly because it was something new to there bodies. There's also the baby boomers who are now fulfilling there lives with entertaining or educational vacations and trips at the elderly ages of 51-69. They are the result of the surviving men that wanted to have families after World War II. These baby boomers are making wonderful use of there old age and are staying as active and healthy as they can.
Of course we cant forget the Aboriginals, the people that built Canada up from centuries ago. The aboriginals are made up of three different groups. First Nations, Metis and Inuit. The First Nations are people who are status Aboriginals. To be of status means to be considered a First Nation by the government. Metis people are a mixed group. So for example, if a European and a First Nation had children, there children are a mix so, therefore are Metis. The Inuit people are the aboriginals of the arctic. The first nations have a high death rate because most were sent to residential schools and were abused which then lead to death. The birth rate is high because, I would think, more aboriginals are trying to keep there traditions alive in the hearts of there children even if there parents didn't have that choice as children themselves.
Back in the day- the 1900s
How First Nations were treated in resedential schools
Canada in the year 2014
Infer: Canada in 2060
The death rate will lower some. I believe that the newer generations will have a higher immunity level(and if not they have technology)because as each generation passes, they take the immunity that the older generation had, and they develop a more advanced immunity based on the older generation's. For example, in the 1900s a cold could have been deadly and is now just an nuisance. Now our bodies are close to being immune because the generation before has prepared our bodies to adjust to the issue that causes us harm. Also, in the years to come, technology will be more developed and there will be more medical assistance.
The natural increase rate wont really change because now the birth rate is higher and the death rate is higher, so it keeps the natural increase rate low. Now if the birth rate lowers and the death rate lowers, you have a very insignificantly changed natural increase rate.
Video
Immigration to Canada in 2060
The immigration origin will only slightly change because of the demography changes in other countries. Instead of the origins being India, China, Syria and the Philippines, it will be China, and most middle eastern countries. The reason for this is because slowly, the Middle East is being put into tight situations such as war, intense heat waves and a lot of pollution. This will eventually rot the land of any of its fertility and they will only be importing and not exporting. Eventually, people are going to get bored of not having any of the wonderful things grown in the Middle East. China will remain a large source of immigration because of its overflowing population. If china keeps producing this many people, it will have to merge with another country that is less populated or they'll have to move people to mars, as NASA is researching the ability to survive on mars.
I believe that the immigration rate will increase immensely. It seems that Canadians have stopped thinking about children and are more focused on there careers, this means that there are not going to be many children and the population wont grow to the economical advantage. So, how are we going to support our selves if there is no one to sell the products we so hardly worked on to? The answer is in the beginning of this paragraph, immigrants. If over half of Canada decides that they don't want to have children, then its up to the immigrants to save our butts from going bankrupt and from not having a new generation to pass our knowledge onto.
Push and Pull factors
Some push factors for the Middle East could be:
- war
- poverty
- insufficient plumbing
- unfertile soil for crops
- overexerting heat waves
- overpopulated
Some pull factors to Canada could be:
- less crowded
- better soil for farming
- safety for refugees
- usually exceptionally cold especially in winter
- less polluted
Some push factors for China could be:
- overpopulated
- only allowed one child allowed for each family
- limited employment
- extreme amounts of pollution
Some pull factors to Canada could be:
- less pollution
- multiple children needed
- less populated
These things can seem insignificant, but can actually make a big impact on the countries overtime.
A Better or Worse Future for the Aboriginals?
Sorry, the audio would not work so I did it in text form. I hope it's alright.
I would have also retired by then. Although I'm not sure what job I will end up doing but, for now, I am interested in the field of science. Me and my family would have a pretty stable life (that's what I hope for.) Picturing my life 50 years later is pretty hard because I've never even considered what might happen after I graduate high school. Do I go to university? Preferably McMasters. Who do I get married to? Am I still living in Canada after 50 years? Have I weakened due to age or am I one of those people who stay in shape even at such an old age. Guess, I 'll have to wait and find out.....
Are YOU ready for everything to change?
Bibliography
- Canadian statistics (past, present, future): http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/91-520-x/2010001/part-partie3-eng.htm
Population of Canada projected to 2060 (graph): http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/economy-lab/population-of-canada-projected-to-2060/article643507/
- Aboriginals: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/aboriginal-peoples-mapping-the-future-1.1049639
- More information on Canadian immigration: http://nextbigfuture.com/2015/02/canada-will-increase-immigration-8-in.html
- Push and pull factors of China and Canada: https://www.collectionscanada.gc.ca/chinese-canadians/021022-1100-e.html
- Information on the baby boom: http://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.ca/en/article/baby-boom/