Eva Fox, Maria Benavides, Brendon Wu
What is Influenza?
Influenza, commonly known as the "flu" is a very contagious disease that has many different and harmful effects. Mostly known as a "mild" illness, the flu is actually much worse than the common cold. It lasts much longer and has effects such as severe body aches, headaches, heavy coughing, and sore throats.
Who is mainly at risk for infection?
Influenza can circulate worldwide. The most vulnerable group is older people, young children, and people with certain medical conditions.
Why are people at risk?
Along with the characteristic of being very contagious, Influenza constantly changes and mutates which aren't preventable by some antiviral drugs.
This disease can be lethal. In some cases, Influenza can become very severe ending with death.
The 1918 Pandemic
The 1918 Pandemic was one of the worst outbreaks of influenza in history.
- The worldwide movement of soldiers, supplies, and refugees as World War I ended caused the global spread of this pandemic
- About 20-40% of the world population became ill
- An estimated about of 50 million people died total
- Nearly 675,000 people died in the United States
- Killed more people than the total amount killed in WWI
Below is our data from a 12 week period during the 1918 pandemic.
Equation: y= 68(2.4)^x
Rate of Change- 1.4
Growth Factor- 2.4
Growth Rate- 140%
In 15 weeks, the prediction of the amount of civilian deaths will be 34,330,295 people
In 20 weeks, the prediction of the amount of civilian deaths will be 2,733,590,328 people
The population effected will double in 3/4 of a week (5 days).
The population effected will triple in 1 1/4 weeks (9 days).
The population effected will quadruple in 9 4/5 weeks (68 1/2 days).
There are many different antiviral drugs to prevent this virus. Influenza vaccination is the most effective way to prevent infection.
General methods of being sanitary and keeping distance from others that are infected can help you from getting this virus.
Is there a cure?
There are many different antiviral drugs to prevent this virus, but no one is immune to it. Influenza vaccination is the most effective way to prevent infection, but even with a flu vaccine, you aren't 100% protected.