The Country of 2060
By: Jadyn Heath
The Current Days
Canada's current immigration is growing rapidly and first Nations situation is another story but is being resolved. The current crisis in Syria has led to a large number of refugees seeking asylum all around the world. Canada officially committed to take in 1,300 Syrian refugees by the end of 2014 but the government has been criticized by immigration groups for failing to keep that promise.
However the Canadian Immigration Ministry refuted this accusation, the immigration minister Chris Alexander, stating, “We have approved more than 1,200 refugees under the 1,300 commitment, and 1,063 are already here in Canada. The rest will travel in the coming weeks. We continue to work expeditiously to fulfil this commitment and will have more to say about this in the coming weeks.”
The United Nations has urged Canada to take in an additional 10,000 Syrian refugees in the next two years. The plea follows United Nations’ global call to help with the resettlement of about 100,000 Syrian refugees who are fleeing from the escalating violence in their country.
The First Nations Situation
In 2011, the largest First Nations population was in Ontario (201,100) where 23.6% of all First Nations people in Canada lived. The next largest was in British Columbia (155,020), where they represented 18.2% of all First Nations people. Moreover, 116,670 First Nations people lived in Alberta, representing 13.7% of all First Nations people in the country.
First Nations people represented the largest shares of the total population of the Northwest Territories, followed by Yukon, Manitoba and Saskatchewan. First Nations people accounted for almost one-third of the total population of the Northwest Territories, close to one-fifth of the total population of Yukon and about 10% of the population of Manitoba and that of Saskatchewan.
Education is fundamental to ensuring full equality of opportunity and a share in Canada’s prosperous future. The Government will work with its partners so that young First Nations people will have access to education systems on reserves comparable to provincial and territorial school systems. For this young and fast-growing population, this is a game-changer.
The First Nations Control of First Nations Education Act will establish the structures and standards necessary to ensure stronger, more accountable education systems on reserves and will result in better outcomes for First Nations students.
Economic Action Plan 2014 confirms core funding of $1.25 billion from 2016–17 to 2018–19 in support of the First Nations Control of First Nations Education Act. When implemented, the legislation will provide stable and predictable statutory funding consistent with provincial education funding models.
In addition, Economic Action Plan 2014 confirms a new Enhanced Education Fund that will provide funding of $160 million over four years starting in 2015–16. This funding will help to develop the partnerships and institutional structures required to implement the proposed legislation, including support for new First Nations education authorities.
This graph shows that there is more non-Aboriginal people then First Nations people.
Natural increase is the difference between births and deaths, and its change over time is determined by the intensity of fertility and mortality, but also by the age structure of the Canadian population and how it evolves. For deaths, all scenarios show a fairly steady increase, which would slow at the end of the period. According to the medium-growth scenario, the number of deaths would double during the period: it would go from 243,500 in 2009/2010 to 375,400 in 2035/2036, peak at 487,100 in 2058/2059, then decline to 486,900 in 2060/2061 (Chart 3.3). The number of deaths would parallel the growth of the population as well as its aging. It would accelerate appreciably as the large generation of baby boomers reaches the advanced ages, associated with high mortality.
Eventually, the increase in the number of deaths would slacken and the trend would even turn downward, marking the gradual end of the movement of baby boomers into the ages of high mortality. In 2061, the generation of baby boomers will have practically disappeared from the Canadian population.
This photo shows that by 2035-2060 most of the baby boomers will be very old or have pasted away.
Death Rate and Birth Rate
Other countries in terms like birth rate, death rate, and also the question if Canada's population is getting older or younger. 17% of Canada's population consisted of young people under 15 years of age, 69% of persons aged 15 to 64 years, and 13% of persons aged 65 years and over. This means that Canada's population is aging(more seniors than the young), which means that the working age population is getting older. Ultimately, this shows that in the future there will be more people leaving the workforce than entering it.
The Canada's current birthrate (since 2012) is 1.61 per woman. The current death rate in Canada is 7 deaths per 1,000 people. I think that Canada's population will be stable by 2060, judging by there being more people in the elder age group than in the pre-reproductive age groups, the population will grow slowly, and the people in the pre-reproductive groups will slowly start to decline as well, which also ties in with the birth rate and death rate, where the birth rate will decrease because of the declining population of pre-reproductive age groups declining, and the death rate will be on the rise because of the more people leaving the workforce influenced by the population growing older.
I definitely think that Canada's population will grow slowly and eventually start to decrease due to the declining of the pre-reproductive age groups which will have major influences. Canada's population is aging(more seniors than the young), which means that the working age population is getting older. Ultimately, this shows that in the future there will be more people leaving the workforce than entering it.
This photo shows that the scenarios in the world matter if the birth rate/death rate will go up or down.
This video shows that Canada's representatives are starting to take action in the matters of the First Nations like i was saying about the First Nation situation.
Immigration in 2060
Toronto house prices have only continued their dramatic rise. Although Toronto and Vancouver lead the way with soaring real estate, prices in many other Canadian cites continue to rise and immigrants can't afford to buy a house.
Canada is way better than immigrants where may be coming from and I predict that Canada will still have many positive attractions in 2060. No one knows if Canada will be in a war and then Canada will have very few immigrants in 2060.
Population, having reached a peak in the 2050s is now going into decline as millions perish due to war, starvation and environmental disasters causing immigration. New and terrifying threats have also emerged, such as nanotechnology terrorism. The global economy, already undergoing rapid change, has entered a period of intense disruption, with traditional free market capitalism beset with problems it is structurally incapable of addressing. Corporations which have operated for many decades seem to disappear overnight, unable to adapt.
Governments have to change, as increasingly angry and frightened citizens pile pressure on world leaders to either adjust or step down. Every organisation and institution survives or falls according to its response to this crisis. By 2100, the world will be unrecognizable compared to its earlier status. Political, economic, social, technological and environmental change will have hit so swiftly that these four decades will appear unlike any other period in history.
This graph shows that the population will just continue to grow.
Future For First Nations
I predict that the First Nations communities in Canada will just keep growing due to the fact that it has been difficult, with some marked successes with treaties and land claims in the territories, B.C. and Quebec; and a young aboriginal population that is making breakthroughs in business, the professions, and education. In the future they should be treated as equals to resolve the rough times they went threw.