Canada in 2040

What will Canada look like in 2040?

How will it look like?

In this smore we will take a look at how Canada will change overtime through it's demographic status and graphs and be able to see how Canada will look in the future. Quite surprising uhh? With the present day demographic information we have of Canada we are able to determine how Canada will look in the future,25 years from now! Does immigration play an important role in developing Canada to be more economically stable, Lets take a look shall we?

Canada we know of today

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immigration

Immigration rate

Today, Canada's yearly average immigration intake is about 250,000 and has been the same for the past 23 years and has a total population of 35 million people giving us an immigration rate of 7.1 immigrants per 1000 people.
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emigration rate

  • There are about 43,000 people who leave Canada each year giving us an emigration rate of 1.3 emigrants per 1000 people

net migration rate

  • This is the net migration rate of Canada as of today from 2000-2012. The current migration rate of Canada is 5.65 migrants per 1000 people. To calculate the net migration rate you must subtract the immigration rate to the emigration rate in order to get the net migration rate
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future predictions (2040)

The top five countries of origin which people emigrate from is China, Philippines, India, Pakistan and the United states in order from highest to lowest. I think the country of origin in which individuals emigrate from will not change and China will still remain the highest in the number of emigrants that emigrate from china to Canada. Ontario and British Columbia will still remain, the provinces where majority of the immigrants of Canada settle in, by 2040 which is also know as province of settlement.


The number of immigrants intake, from 1990-2010 on the graph for immigration rate per year has stayed constant for more than 20 years straight. Although if you look at the graph from 1990-2010 you can also notice that the number of immigrants per year is slightly increasing, which indicates that the number of immigrants coming per year will increase by 50,000 immigrants per year, which will give us about 300,000 immigrants per year and a immigration rate of 6 immigrants per 1000 people, in the year of 2040


A new pull factor for Canada in 2040 can be access to fresh water because, water is starting to become a concern and most developing countries don't have access to safe, clean drinking water, therefore people would want to immigrate to Canada do to the access of clean drinking water Canada has which will then become and push factor for Canada by 2040. A push factor to immigrate to Canada can be poor air quality by 2040 because, as we are burning more and more fossil fuels we are generating more and more pollution and at one point pollutions levels can get high enough to pose a threat to humans in that country therefore would emigrate from that country and come to Canada for a better air quality and life.

Demography

over all population of Canada

The current population of Canada is approximately 35 million people living in Canada. Statistics shows that by 2040 the population of Canada would be about approximately 40 million people living in Canada . The population would go up by 5 million from a 25 year span. Canada's population would be increasing at a very slow rate.

Birth rate

The current birth rate of Canada is approximately 10.28 births per 1000 people As of Today. There has been a total of 385,937 births between 3013/2014 and a national population of about 35 million which gives us a birth rate of about 10.28 births per 1000 people.

Birth rate in 2040

By 2040 the birth rate of Canada will be approximately 9.40. Which also mean that there will be 9.40 births per 1000 people living in Canada by 2040. The present day birth rate is 10.28 births per 1000 people which means that the birth rate will be decreasing. In 2040 the birth rate will be decreased by 0.88 births per 1000 people.
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Death rate

The current death rate of Canada is 8.09 deaths per 1000 people As of today. There has been a total of 256,721 deaths in Canada and a overall population of 35 million people which is an approximate death rate of 8.09 deaths per 1000 people.

death rate in 2040

By 2040 the death rate of Canada will be approximately 11.95, which also means that there will be 11.95 deaths per 1000 people in Canada by 2040. The present day death rate of Canada is 8.09 deaths per 1000 people which means that the death rate will be increasing. By 2040 the death rate would go up by 3.86 deaths per 1000 people.
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Rate of natural increase

The rate of natural increase for Canada is approximately 2.2 As of today. Today's birth rate is 10.28 and a death rate of 8.09. Which gives us a rate of natural increase of 2.2 as of today in Canada by subtracting the birth rate from the death rate.

rate of natural increase in 2040

By 2040 the rate of natural increase will be approximately -0.26 percent. The present day rate of natural increase is 2.2. This indicates that the rate of natural increase is decreasing. The rate of natural increase of Canada would decrease by 2.46 by 2040.
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population pyramid

2015

This is the population pyramid of Canada of today (2015). As you can see the ages 50-54 cohort, holds the highest percentage of Canada's population that contains almost 4% of Canada's population. This is because the 50-54 cohort carries the highest percentage of Canada's population Which explains the "Baby boom" that occurred 50 years ago which still can be seen on present day population pyramids.
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2040

This is the population pyramid of 2040. If you compare it with the population pyramid of 2015, it would look relevantly the same. But the population pyramid of 2040 curves in a little later and suddenly than the population pyramid of 2015. This sudden curve-in on the population pyramid of 2040 explains the "Baby boom" that occurred on a populations pyramid 75 years from this population pyramid that effects the shape of all the population pyramid through 75 years later.
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Population density

This is the population density of Canada we know of today. Which is 3.44 people per square kilometre. Canada is known to have one of the lowest population density's compare to other countries that have very high population densities such as Bangladesh which has a population density of about 1,203 people per square kilometre. Canada has a very low population density compare to Bangladesh and also other countries as well.

Population density in 2040

Since we already know that there is a increase in Canada's overall population from earlier. This would indicate that the population density of Canada in 2040 would be higher & would increase. The population density in 2040 would be 4 people per square kilometre. The current population density of Canada in 2014 is 3.44 people per square kilometre and would increase by 0.56 people per square kilometre by 2040.
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Population growth rate

This is the population growth rate of Canada as of today that ranges from 2000-2013. The population growth rate of Today is about 1.2 percent. Population growth rate is a rate in which the number of people in a population increases that includes all the birth rates, death rates, immigration rates and emigration rates.

population growth rate in 2040

By 2040 the growth rate of Canada would be about 0.30 percent. The present day population growth rate is 1.2 percent, this indicates that the population growth rate is decreasing. By 2040 the population growth rate of Canada will decrease by 0.9 percent. As you can see the graph of the population growth rate of 2014 below, is very active and is difficult to tell which way the graph is going.
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Canada: An Aging Population

Final thoughts...

Canada is the second largest country with a large area of land. Along with its abundant resources such as clean drinking water and the 6th largest oil supplier in the world. However, Canada has a very low population compare to the large area of land it covers. The population of Canada is increasing at a very slow rate. The current population of Canada is 35 million people, which is very low compare to its large area of land. This is why immigration plays an important role in developing Canada and making it more economically stable.

Bibliography

These are all the Websites I used to research and find my information about Canadian demography and Canadian immigration: