Canada's populatIon 2060

Birth/Death rate in 2060 predictions

Population Back in Time

Before I write about population how about we go back three years from now and write about population is 2012. 2000 and above was a great increase of population for Canada. It was estimated on July 1 of 2012 that our population was currently at 34,880,500. From 2011 to 2012 the population grew about +1.1% compared to other countries that is a huge increase. Ex: USA increase= +0.7%, Italy= +0.3% Sweden +0.7%, Australia= +1.4%, etc. Canada has a birth rate of 10.28 and a death rate of 7.87 making the natural increase rate o 2.62

Population Predictions 2060

Provinces in the future

As of now 40% of the population in Canada is in Ontario. The southern parts of Canada is where most of the population is located. By 2038 it is predicted 14.8 million- 18.3 million will live in Ontario. Ontario gets most of its population through immigration and in the future would continue to be the most populous area of Canada. By 2038 Alberta's population will most likely pass BC. BC will have 24-27% of its population consisting of seniors. Alberta on the other hand will have the least amount of seniors in all of Canada. Quebec's population won't be a drastic increase, it won't as much as the rest of the provinces will. The northern province/territories have a steady birth/death ratio resulting in almost nothing to barely any change.
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Canada in 2060

The Canadian population is gonna grow in the next 50 years to come, reaching in between 40.0 million people to 63.5 million. The highest possibility is somewhere above 60 million, the medium-population is 51 million If something was to go downhill the lowest chance is 40 million people. It is most likely gonna be the medium population because in the two decades to come the youngest of baby boomers will be 65 or older. This is when a lot of people will be needed for the labour-force. In the future the amount of seniors will increase. The number of Canadian aged over 80 years will nearly reach 5 million, compared with the 1.4 million of 2013. The number of centenarians in Canada would reach more than 62,000 persons in 2063 according to the medium-growth scenario, compared with just under 7,000 in 2013. This nine-fold increase in the number of centenarians over the next 50 years would be mostly a result of the arrival of baby boomers in this age group beginning in 2046, combined with a projected decline in mortality because medical advancements occur.
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Immigration

Immigration is an important important part of Canada's demography. We rely on immigrants for jobs in skill trades. Our net migration rate is 5.66 per 1000. Making us 11th place in the world with one of the highest net migration rate. Most immigrants that move too Canada choose to live in places with 100,000 people or higher because those places have a more diverse culture and people feel more comfortable there. There is a fault in too much immigration which is the unemployment rate, more immigrants are unemployed because there is not enough jobs available for them.Canada is a generous country who takes in refugees and gives them homes and support them for three years but when more and more people keep coming as refugees we can't support all the refugees without non-profit organizations helping. In the future Canada will make a balance in how much immigrants come to the metropolitan areas and it is predicted that we will rely on immigration in the future to keep a steady population or it might lower.
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First Nations in The Future

In all of Canada only 4.3% of that is all of the first nations. In total the amount of anyone with an aboriginal identity (status, non-status,metis,inuit) is 3,652,925. They might be a small number right now but they are growing at a rate 4 times us (approximately). The Aboriginal population increased about 20.1% between 2006 and 2011 compared to the 5.2% growth for non-aboriginals. Now the first nations population in the future could nearly quadruple at the rate they are growing. First Nation have a really huge birth rate, 60 babies are born per 1000 and a low death rate of 5 people per 1000. First nation people have a high fertility rate as well, aboriginal women have about 2.6 children compared to the fertility rate of Canada being 1.8 children per a woman's lifetime. The Infant Mortality rate is 20% percent higher than the rest of Canada causing the aboriginals to want to have more babies. So the aboriginals are gonna grow at a fast rate and by 2060 their population will quadruple.
Aboriginal Issues in Canada
This video explains a lot of problems that the First Nations are having, it explains there birth rate and how they are spread throughout Canada.

Aboriginal Identity

This table presents the population by Aboriginal identity. The column headings are: population; Ontario and Canada. The columns Ontario and Canada are divided into number, percentage of total population and percentage of Aboriginal identity population. The rows are: total population; Aboriginal identity population; First Nations single identity; First Nations single identity (Registered or Treaty Indian); First Nations single identity (not a Registered or Treaty Indian); Métis single identity; Inuit single identity; multiple Aboriginal identities; Aboriginal identities not included elsewhere; non-Aboriginal identity population.
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Conclusion

So from what I predict the population of Canada will grow. After the baby boomers retire it will leave us and this generation of kids with jobs in labor-works and other things. We are looking towards a bright future. The first nation will grow and make a significant difference in our population and economy and hopefully in the future we can live together as one without problems. Medical advancements will cause us to have a longer life expectancy and more people will live after the age of a hundred years causing there to be more seniors than ever before and that is more people Canada will have to help with the pension plans. But as citizens of Canada we will help to create a better future.
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Shaheer Khan

2060 Canada by Shaheer Khan